Strategie Grains cuts EU wheat crop forecast because of heatwave

Strategie Grains cuts EU wheat crop forecast because of heatwave

by admin- Friday, July 12th, 2019 07:34:07 AM

Analysts at the consultancy pegged 2019 EU smooth wheat production at a hundred and forty.6 million tonnes,
Strategie Grains cut its month-to-month forecast for this year’s European Union soft wheat harvest via extra than 2 million tonnes because it factored in a late-June heatwave in western Europe.

Analysts at the consultancy pegged 2019 EU tender wheat production at one hundred forty.6 million tonnes, down from 142.8 million projected closing month however 11 consistent with cent above a drought-hit 2018 extent.

Other forecasters have also trimmed estimates for this yr’s EU wheat harvest, even though the intense temperatures were now not thought to have lasted lengthy enough to purpose intense crop losses as visible all through closing year’s drought.

“The heatwave that struck West Europe and Poland on the stop of June has brought on concerns round yield potentials, especially for crops on shallow soils,” Strategie Grains stated in a month-to-month EU grain file.

“For the maximum element, the winter barley crops escaped effect from the heatwave due to the fact the grains have been already ripening. The wheat less superior within the boom cycle (…) become at a lot greater hazard from grain scald.”

Strategie Grains had decreased its estimates of gentle wheat production in Germany via over 700,000 tonnes, Spain by way of greater than six hundred,000 tonnes and Poland by nearly 400,000 tonnes, it stated.

It kept little modified its gentle wheat crop estimate for France, the EU’s biggest manufacturer, at 37 million tonnes, up sharply from round 34 million closing yr and in keeping with a first forecast from the us of a’s farm ministry.

Production outlook falls
Harvesting of wintry weather barley, which debts for around half of EU manufacturing, is well beneath way and Strategie Grains said early yield indications had been suitable with the exception of Spain. However, later-growing spring barley can also have suffered extra from the heatwave while maize plant life could also had been affected after cold conditions in May, it stated.

Strategie Grains decreased its 2019 barley manufacturing outlook to fifty nine.3 million tonnes from 59.6 million remaining month, a stage still properly above closing yr’s crop of 55.7 million.

For projected maize manufacturing, the firm made a bigger cut of seven-hundred,000 tonnes to sixty two.7 million tonnes even though this also remained higher than the 2018 degree of 61.7 million.

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